Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.700052 0.896866 1.118153 1.382484 1.686759 2.023290 2.420856
2025-06-29 0.415993 0.655865 0.961426 1.365774 1.873586 2.477802 3.238413
2025-07-06 0.234854 0.470396 0.813534 1.314965 1.995533 2.856077 3.994897
2025-07-13 0.139930 0.362415 0.732727 1.324228 2.180611 3.316478 4.877230
2025-07-20 0.081257 0.281849 0.665403 1.331752 2.353159 3.763575 5.761740
2025-07-27 0.040932 0.207545 0.582096 1.293050 2.446074 4.100110 6.510122
2025-08-03 0.018566 0.152426 0.512177 1.257641 2.531755 4.422805 7.246152
2025-08-10 0.008325 0.119073 0.473054 1.265120 2.678926 4.835155 8.116235
2025-08-17 0.002384 0.085077 0.415682 1.224501 2.738749 5.115964 8.805703
2025-08-24 0.000854 0.072910 0.410220 1.284262 2.969254 5.660657 9.886958
2025-08-31 0.000100 0.056051 0.381278 1.288018 3.099766 6.054056 10.757232
2025-09-07 0.000008 0.050739 0.388406 1.371472 3.376254 6.683329 11.988210
2025-09-14 NaN 0.042669 0.381854 1.424858 3.605863 7.254258 13.160034
2025-09-21 NaN 0.033518 0.364321 1.448993 3.782503 7.747218 14.229551
2025-09-28 NaN 0.022680 0.327434 1.417035 3.848813 8.062583 15.038700
2025-10-05 NaN 0.017133 0.312128 1.437703 4.017143 8.549306 16.118199
2025-10-12 NaN 0.012493 0.295666 1.451323 4.170683 9.014341 17.172302
2025-10-19 NaN 0.007421 0.263879 1.413119 4.214602 9.294494 17.944745
2025-10-26 NaN 0.004066 0.235431 1.376923 4.257873 9.572434 18.717158
2025-11-02 NaN 0.002516 0.222112 1.385628 4.395927 10.016426 19.757819
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001033 0.195792 1.342757 4.417357 10.255807 20.477194
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000787 0.199088 1.406587 4.678964 10.924941 21.892936
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000348 0.187097 1.410687 4.805466 11.356265 22.933529